Craig Gilbert at the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel has a very interesting article up about the voter breakdown in the Wisconsin recall election for Governor. This graphic in particular is very interesting:
What this shows is that the Democratic vote was incredibly localized to two communities -- Madison and Milwaukee. In other words, it shows what many have observed for some time... the Democratic Party has become the party of governmental bureaucrats/college professors (Madison) and urban blacks (Milwaukee). That's not a party that is going to have much appeal for much of the rest of America, who correctly see big cities and big state governments and liberal college campuses as anathema to how they live their lives.
Substitute the two coasts for Madison and Milwaukee, and the liberal concentration in San Francisco, Los Angeles, and the Boston-New York-Washington, D.C. corridor, and I think this graphic could be replicated in November. You'll see Obama winning California, Washington, Oregon, and then the northeastern states (except maybe New Hampshire). But he won't win anything other than Illlinois and maybe Michigan in between.
It's like it's two different countries.