Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Bashar Assad, President of Syria
Not going to happen. He's bad, but he's not quite Adolf Hitler bad. (Hitler was Time's Man of the Year in 1938.)
Jeff Bezos, Amazon Founder
Amazon is a great company and Bezos has had two world-changing ideas -- (1) sell books via the Internet (the 1990s idea); and (2) ship books (and other media) over the Internet (the late 2000s big idea... the Kindle). But he's already been Person of the Year in 1999, and I doubt a bookseller gets two bites at that apple. Note: the only people who have been named more than once are Obama (2), George W. Bush (2), Bill Clinton (2), Ronald Reagan (2), Richard Nixon (2), Lyndon Johnson (2), Dwight Eisenhower (2), Harry Truman (2), FDR (3), Stalin (2), Churchill (2), George Marshall (2). In short, heads of state. Amazon's not a country, not yet... although Bezos apparently does want some drones.
Ted Cruz, Texas Senator
Just put on the list so they can say snarky things about Republicans.
Miley Cyrus, Singer
Just put on the list so they can say snarky things about sluts. (And to sell magazines.)
Barack Obama, President of the United States
Unless they really want to try to save his rapidly failing Presidency, no. He's already got it twice, including last year.
Hassan Rouhani, President of Iran
Who? Maybe, if Time's point is making sure that John Kerry and Obama get applause for sabotaging Israel. But I don't think so.
Kathleen Sebelius, Secretary of Health and Human Services
YGTBFKM. But, actually, maybe, since the failure of Obamacare is probably going to be the biggest story of this decade.
Edward Snowden, N.S.A. Leaker
Would be an interesting pick, but also a very dangerous one... if he's Time's Man of the Year, doesn't that almost give him license to continue his drip-drip-drip of data damaging America's national security?
Edith Windsor, Gay rights activist
This would be the apotheosis of the liberal elite stuffing their belief system down our throats if Time named as Person of the Year someone that even well-informed people like me have simply NEVER FREAKIN' HEARD OF!
Pope Francis, Leader of the Catholic Church
Yes. The obvious choice. It will sell lots of magazines to Catholics. And it will give Time the opportunity it craves to criticize conservative Catholics (who supposedly don't like gays and women and want to keep college girls from getting free condoms or something) and celebrate Pope Francis' supposed liberalism (even though he believes the exact same things on the same issues as every Pope before him).
Monday, December 9, 2013
The minimum wage is one-such hidden "tax." I wonder if anyone would notice the problem with this photograph of a "raise the minimum wage" protest:
Yeah, me too... I noticed the young man at the protest next to the sign saying "we can't survive on $8.25/hr." looking intently at what appears to be an iPhone.
And there you have the root of the coming rebellion of the rest of us. We are more than willing to help the poor. We give money to charity, we work in soup kitchens and church-based lunch programs, etc. We are even willing to pay a relatively high rate of taxes to help the poor. But right now there are too many people struggling to get by working 40+ hours a week who are getting taxed like crazy to pay for wealth-transfer programs where the beneficiaries all seem to have... houses, cars, flat-screen TVs, and, yes, cell phones. When enough people have experienced watching a lady buy groceries with food stamps while wearing a lot of jewelry, and then watch her take the same groceries out to her late-model luxury car, someone is going to start saying, enough is enough.
Oh, I also asked him about a new version of the same product that just came out... did people like it? Was it working well?
He said they had sold 1.7 million units on the first day it was available, which had been timed for sales before Christmas.
In case you hadn't figured it out yet:
- The company was Amazon.
- The product I was having trouble with was the first-generation Kindle Fire.
- The new product they just brought to market is the new generation Kindle Fire HDX.
1.7 million. On the first day.
That's what you call a "roll-out."
Now, contrast that with the roll-out of Obamacare.
And the libs want to convince us that Big Government is the answer when the evidence of how extraordinarily good the private sector and a free economy is at answering our needs is all around us.
Has anyone in the Democratic Party ever bothered to read Adam Smith? It's like we have to teach the same basic lessons, over and over again.
Friday, December 6, 2013
President Obama has played golf 151 times since he became President.
But he met with Kathleen Sibelius, the Secretary of Health and Human Services, the agency tasked with implementing his most important "achievement" as President, the Affordable Care Act, aka Obamacare... apparently never!
Amid the Obama administration’s endless rounds of finger-pointing and blame-shifting, scant if any attention has been paid to the amount of time and executive leadership the president personally devoted to implementing his signature legislative achievement.
“Nothing frustrates me more than when people aren’t doing their jobs,” Obama has said. So, with so much riding on the line, one would assume he held weekly, if not daily, one-on-one meetings with his Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Kathleen Sebelius to isolate problems, challenge assumptions, apply executive pressure where needed and successfully manage a project of scale.
That did not happen, at least not according to Obama’s own official White House calendar.
A new Government Accountability Institute (GAI) analysis finds that from July 12, 2010, to Nov. 30, 2013, the president’s public schedule records zero one-on-one meetings between Obama and Sebelius.
Can someone start talking about impeaching this jerk for gross dereliction of duty?
Here's a snatch from a Bruce Springsteen song, "Crush on You," from his album The River:
Well now she might be the talk of high society
She's probably got a lousy personality
She might be a heiress to Rockefeller
She might be a waitress or a bank teller
She makes the Venus de Milo look like she's got no style
She makes Sheena of the Jungle look meek and mild
Working glass girls from Jersey (and, frankly, from anywhere else) used to grow up to become, among other things, waitresses or bank tellers or secretaries.
But ATMs more and more put bank tellers out of business -- my wife and I were in a bank recently looking to refinance our house, and there was literally no one waiting in line at the tellers, and there only two of them on duty.
And I can tell you in our office that, more and more, secretaries (God bless them) are becoming unnecessary. I type my own letters, most of which I sign electronically and send via .pdf and file with a drop-and-drag feature, all from my desk and without any help at all -- no typing, no copying, no envelopes, no filing, nothing. I enter my own time on a computer program. I do a good deal of filing with courts electronically. We used to have one secretary for every lawyer. We now have three or more lawyers for every secretary. Given the cost of salaries and benefits (especially health care) involved in hiring a legal secretary, I suspect that the ratio will continue in an inexorable approach to a limit equal to zero legal secretaries. That's sad, but that's what I see happening within the next 10-20 years.
Now there's this, as Jonah Goldberg reports:
On Tuesday, the day before Obama called for an increase in the minimum wage, the restaurant chain Applebee’s announced that it will install iPad-like tablets at every table. Chili’s already made this move earlier this year.
With these consoles customers will be able to order their meals and pay their checks without dealing with a waiter or waitress. Both companies insist that they won’t be changing their staffing levels, but if you’ve read any science fiction, you know that’s what the masterminds of every robot takeover say: “We’re here to help. We’re not a threat.”
But the fact is, the tablets are a threat. In 2011, Annie Lowrey wrote about the burgeoning tablet-as-waiter business. She focused on a startup firm called E La Carte, which makes a table tablet called Presto. “Each console goes for $100 per month. If a restaurant serves meals eight hours a day, seven days a week, it works out to 42 cents per hour per table — making the Presto cheaper than even the very cheapest waiter. Moreover, no manager needs to train it, replace it if it quits, or offer it sick days. And it doesn’t forget to take off the cheese, walk off for 20 minutes, or accidentally offend with small talk, either.”
Applebee’s is using the Presto. Are we really supposed to believe that the chain will keep thousands of redundant human staffers on the payroll forever?
This is a gigantic problem for our society. At the same time that we are making college increasingly and often prohibitively expensive, we are basically making the types of jobs people used to get without a college education obsolete. I wish the problem were just lowering the minimum wage or eliminating it entirely, something I favor as a way of making unskilled young men, and particularly unskilled young minorities, more attractive to employers. I wish the problem were just limiting illegal immigration, which adds millions of unskilled workers to an economy where there already aren't enough jobs for unskilled workers to begin with. But the problem is probably more difficult than that -- Moore's Law keeps on chugging along, and computing power keeps on getting cheaper and cheaper, and building drones and robots and machines to do the work that people used to do keeps getting easier and easier.
Everytime I go to a city on business, I'm invariably driven in a cab by a cab driver who's a recent immigrant -- in Minneapolis it's invariably a Somali, in Detroit an Arab, in New York a Russian, etc. At some point, however, there will be drone cars, driverless cars, run by computers. There will be drone deliverymen (see Bezos, Jeff and his plans for Amazon). The Internet is already making going to the mall unnecessary, and hence the jobs of the mall security guard, the mall cleaning staff, the mall salesgirls, etc. We have what amounts to online malls with every shop you could imagine, and no trouble finding parking.
But, if you're a kid who just dropped out of college because it was too expensive, where exactly are you supposed to go for a job?
A bit of a rant, and I'm not a Luddite, but there's a lot that worries me out there as a parent of teenagers.
Thursday, December 5, 2013
The mo-fos are getting rich on the backs of the rest of "flyover" country. They're laughing at us.
Time for real "change."
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
Anyway, happy birthday to Gemma Jones, who turns 71 today.
Anyway, I thought we needed a reminder of just how dismal the Obama record on the economy has been. Here's a graph straight from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showing the employment-to-population ratio:
Hmmmmm... that seems pretty obvious to me... employment crashed in the 2008 recession and, under Obama's policies, has never recovered! Instead, what this graph shows is that all of the job creation under Obama has been barely enough to keep up with population growth. Right now, there's a civilian "noninstitutional" population of roughly 245 million Americans. So that gap between 63% employed and 58% unemployed is about 5%, or roughly 11-12 million Americans who are missing from the employment rolls. That's a lot of tax dollars rolling out in unemployment, welfare, food stamps, Medicaid, etc.; and that's a lot of taxes not rolling in because these folks aren't on a payroll. And that's a lot of despair among these unemployed people, our neighbors and fellow citizens.
Remember this the next time someone in the Obama Administration touts how great it is that Obamacare is giving young women free birth control.
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
Shannon Gibney is a professor of English and African diaspora studies at Minneapolis Community and Technical College (MCTC). When that’s your job, there are a lot of opportunities to talk about racism, imperialism, capitalism, and history. There are also a lot of opportunities to anger students who would rather not learn about racism, imperialism, capitalism, and history. I presume MCTC knows that; they have an African diaspora studies program. [But] when Gibney led a discussion on structural racism in her mass communication class, three white students filed a discrimination complaint because it made them feel uncomfortable. This time, MCTC reprimanded Gibney under their anti-discrimination policy...
So much wrong here. First, if you're living in America as, say, a Somali immigrant (there are a lot of those in Minneapolis), the last thing you need is "African Diaspora Studies." What you need is learning a skilled trade, learning how to speak English, learning math and science and engineering, in short, learning marketable skills that can get you out of poverty and into the American mainstream and middle-class, which, presumably, is why you came here in the first place. The problem with Somalia and, increasingly, in America's urban under-class, is not that there's too much capitalism, but that there's too little; in Somalia, not too much imperialism, but, arguably, not enough.
Second, putting aside the political arguments... what on earth is any of this doing in a "mass communications" class? Is racism, imperialism, capitalism and history really the appropriate subject matters for a "mass communications" class?
Which, finally, begs the question... what the hell is a "mass communications" class and why exactly should it be taught at the Minneapolis Community and Technical College? I can see teaching something like that at a Harvard or a Yale where young people can spend four years being countercultural dilletantes and still get jobs at Goldman Sachs after graduation. But at MCTC these young people are being gravely disserved if the faculty thinks their job is radicalizing the students. Their job is to help their students get J-O-B-S, period (as the President likes to say).
But, needless to say, the writer at Slate.com thinks that the Professor is the victim because... well, because of some "speak truth to power" liberal bullshit that you can read for yourself:
If I want to piss off the majority of higher education’s customers, then defying the natural superiority of men by being a female authority figure, countering white oppression beliefs by appealing to structural racism, and making young people feel the emotions of being offended would seem like a good way to go. If, like Gibney, I were a professor hired to teach diaspora studies, doing so would be my job.
Teaching what people would rather not learn is especially tough if you are a woman or a minority professor. Research shows that our customers rate Asian-American, Hispanic, black, and women professors lower than white male professors across all subjects. Most disturbingly, student evaluations of women of color are harshest when customers are told that the results will be “communicated to a third party for the purposes of evaluation.” Our customers are not only disinclined to like tough subjects; they’re also inclined to take their discomfort out on minority professors, who are the least likely to have the protection of tenure or support from university administration.
Learning is—should often be—uncomfortable for individuals.
Thought experiment: imagine a white teacher who wants to teach class about "structural racism," but her focus is on affirmative action and systematic mismatching of African-American students with universities and colleges, i.e., 1200 SAT kid at Harvard when he ought to be at UW-Madison, 1000 SAT kid at Madison when he ought to be at UW-Whitewater, 800 SAT kid at Whitewater when he probably shouldn't be in college at all, etc. She lectures about how this practice does a disservice to African-Americans who have higher dropout rates because of mismatching. She also adds how it could be perceived as unfair to whites with high GPAs and SATs who don't get into schools of their choices, and (perhaps especially) to Asian-American kids who are essentially discriminated against in applying to elite schools. The discussion makes the African-American students in class very uncomfortable and even angry.
Do you still think that "Learning is—should often be—uncomfortable for individuals"? If not, why not?
The reality is that liberal professors are all about making learning "uncomfortable" only for white male middle-class students, while coddling young women and, particularly, young minorities in the gauzy softness of liberal arts curricula that cannot possibly provide them the tools to succeed in a competitive marketplace.
1. Credibility. A trial lawyer knows that, from the moment he walks into the Court for the first scheduling conference with the judge, he has to maintain his credibility. He can't be late to Court, he can't bring frivolous or unnecessary motions, he can't misrepresent case law, he can't elide important facts from his briefs, etc. He can't lie, period. For Obama, lying (more charitably, "bull-shitting") is a way of life. It is the attitude of the lawyer who doesn't actually ever have to go before a judge, the lawyer who just sits around board rooms and talks to other lawyers.
2. Respect for different opinions. A trial lawyer must respect the positions even of his adversaries, because he must understand them in order to be able to defeat them. Moreover, the very fact that you're at trial means that someone (the opposing party) thinks your client has wronged him, and has found a lawyer who thinks your client has wronged him, and has persuaded the judge that there is enough of a case that your client has wronged him to go forward to a jury. When you are a trial lawyer, you realize, not just that there are two sides to every debate, but that both sides have at least some merit and, until the jury comes in, you really don't know which one is right. For Obama, any disagreement is the sign of mendacity or bad faith on the part of his adversaries. Because of that, he misses opportunities for compromise and creates a toxic political atmosphere, despite all of his vaunted claims to be "post-partisan."
3. Humility. When you're a trial lawyer, you lose a lot. Maybe not a lot of cases, but certainly a lot of motions. In my last jury trial (which I won), I lost a motion to dismiss, a motion for summary judgment, and a raft of motions in limine. I was right in the end, but I wasn't nearly as right as I thought, and it was a close-run thing. Obama's never had a trial that he lost, or a motion that he lost. He was an academic... he lived in a world where no one loses. And, in politics, he had a safe seat in the Illinois State Senate, a walk-over election to the U.S. Senate, an easy election to the Presidency (comparatively), and a fairly easy re-election as the incumbent. When did he ever have to learn humility?
4. Keeping promises. It is Rule No. 1 of trial practice that, if you promise something to the jury -- if you stand up in opening argument and say that "the evidence will show X" or "the witness will testify that Y" -- well, you had better make good on that promise, or they'll hold it against you. But Obama's promises on Obamacare -- "if you like your doctor, you can keep him" or "if you like your plan, you can keep your plan, period" -- haven't come true.
5. Don't be boring. Finally, real trial lawyers understand that even Clarence Darrow won't keep a jury's attention for very long. A ten minute opening that says something directly and forcefully is better than an hour-long opening that bores the jury. A fifteen-minute cross examination that eviscerates the credibility of a key witness for the other side is better than an hour-long cross that meanders through documents and topics, even if it covers the points better and in more detail. Don't bore them, don't waste their time, they've got better things to do. Obama has never realized this. No one (his mother? his grandparents? his teachers? his professors?) ever told him anything other than how brilliant he is as an "orator." But juries don't like orators, they like lawyers who get to the point and get them out of the box and home to their families. Obama is a blowhard. Juries hate that.
The American people are Obama's judge and jury in this scenario. And he has proved to be a terrible advocate, even for his own legacy program, Obamacare.
But you have to wonder whether the confluence of events happening as we speak might be a tipping point for at least the present iteration of the socialist/communist/liberal utopianism embodied in the Presidency of Barack Obama. Consider this story:
The city of Chicago registered more homicides than any city in the nation in 2012, surpassing even New York — despite the fact that the Second City has only one third as many residents as the Big Apple.
In new crime statistics released Monday, the Federal Bureau of Investigation reported 500 murders in Chicago in 2012, up sharply from the 431 recorded in 2011. New York reported 419 murders last year, compared with 515 in 2011.
Or this one:
The struggling metropolis of Detroit, overwhelmed by debt and groping for a path forward, on Tuesday became the largest American city ever to qualify for bankruptcy protection.
Judge Steven W. Rhodes of the United States Bankruptcy Court, found that Detroit was insolvent and that the pension checks of retirees could be cut during a bankruptcy proceeding, a crucial part of his decision.
Under the ruling, the vastly diminished city, once the nation’s fourth largest and the cradle of the American auto industry, will now be allowed to search for a way to pay off some portion of its debts and restore essential services to tolerable levels under court supervision. The goal, according to an emergency manager appointed by the state of Michigan, is to emerge next year from court protection with a formal plan for starting over.
Or, finally, this one:
A liberal Democratic government in Chicago cannot keep its citizens safe from murderers.
A liberal Democratic government in Detroit cannot provide basic services and is, now, officially bankrupt.
A liberal Democratic federal government, with essentially infinite resources and three years of planning, cannot create a functioning, secure website.
But we're supposed to let these people tell us what to do in our businesses, schools, churches, neighborhoods, homes? Why? More and more people are asking this question, and even more should ask it, if they'd only wake up.
But while the contractors were grateful to Mr. Zients for helping to create order, they saw the administration’s “tech surge” — announced by Mr. Obama in the Rose Garden a few days before QSSI took over — as mostly an exercise in public relations.
The announcement conjured images of an army of software engineers descending on the project. In fact, the surge centered on about a half-dozen people who had taken leave from various technology companies to join the effort. They included Michael Dickerson, a site reliability engineer at Google who had also worked on Mr. Obama’s campaign and now draws praise from contractors as someone who is “actually making a difference,” one said.
Even so, one person working on the project said, “Surge was probably an overstatement.”
An "overstatement" is when you call something a surge when it's only a few hundred people. When there's only six people and you call it a "surge," what you are doing is LYING.
But, then, we've grown to expect that, haven't we?
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
In much of what passes for political discourse, we focus on the exceedingly short term while ignoring the long term. We talk, for instance, about the sequester or the government shutdown, while ignoring the long-term imbalances in our budgets and finances -- the disconnect between a huge and growing class of net "takers" sucking at the government teat, and a now-smaller and shrinking class of net "makers" paying taxes to support the Leviathan welfare state. We talk, for instance, about the incompetent rollout of the Obamacare website without analyzing the long-term impossibility of providing world-class healthcare to 310 million Americans, most of whom can't afford it themselves, and many of whom are actively through lifestyle choices causing the very health problems they want others to pay to cure. We talk, for instance, about a nuclear "deal" with Iran, while ignoring, for the most part, the fact that a billion Muslims have a historic, millenium-old antipathy for Christianity and the West that no "deal" will change.
Having said all that, the real short-term/long-term problem in our discourse is that we talk about politics and political questions at all, rather than spiritual questions. We focus on Man on Earth, rather than Man in Eternity. In short, we focus on Man, not God.
Anyway, I was thinking these kinds of things reading the news today, because undoubtedly the most important thing to happen today was the publication of Pope Francis' first encyclical, called "The Joy of the Gospel." You can read it all here, but I'll just grab the first few paragraphs to give you a sense of what a different paradigm for thinking about the world really looks like:
THE JOY OF THE GOSPEL fills the hearts and lives of all who encounter Jesus. Those who accept his offer of salvation are set free from sin, sorrow, inner emptiness and loneliness. With Christ joy is constantly born anew. In this Exhortation I wish to encourage the Christian faithful to embark upon a new chapter of evangelization marked by this joy, while pointing out new paths for the Church’s journey in years to come.
The great danger in today’s world, pervaded as it is by consumerism, is the desolation and anguish born of a complacent yet covetous heart, the feverish pursuit of frivolous pleasures, and a blunted conscience. Whenever our interior life becomes caught up in its own interests and concerns, there is no longer room for others, no place for the poor. God’s voice is no longer heard, the quiet joy of his love is no longer felt, and the desire to do good fades. This is a very real danger for believers too. Many fall prey to it, and end up resentful, angry and listless. That is no way to live a dignified and fulfilled life; it is not God’s will for us, nor is it the life in the Spirit which has its source in the heart of the risen Christ.
I invite all Christians, everywhere, at this very moment, to a renewed personal encounter with Jesus Christ, or at least an openness to letting him encounter them; I ask all of you to do this unfailingly each day. No one should think that this invitation is not meant for him or her, since “no one is excluded from the joy brought by the Lord”.
Anyway, I'm not sure whether Rachel McAdams is a good actress, but she's awfully cute in the romantic roles I've seen her in (The Notebook, The Time Traveler's Wife), so she rates a GotD:
Saturday, November 23, 2013
That was the quality of his entanglements, their very essence. He got into appalling messes, unending and unravellable -- no, she meant un-unravellable -- messes and other people suffered for him whilst he mooned along into more messes.
Sounds a good deal like our narcissistic, "so smart everything bores him" President.
That's how the private sector does business ca. 2013.
Meanwhile, here's what the government's attempt at a healthcare web-based "marketplace" looks like:
Compare and contrast!
Thursday, November 21, 2013
It's her birthday today... she would have been 101. Probably the best technical tap dancer among Fred Astaire's partners, although I'd rank her for obvious reasons behind Ginger Rogers. She looks a little bit like some of my lovely nieces. But I bet they can't do this:
Anyway, over at Ace of Spades this morning they had a pretty good list of the issues to date of Obamacare. Pretty much any of these are a debacle, together they're a death spiral:
Let's review. Obamacare's problems:
(1) The website is broken.
(2) The payment and accounting and administration back-end is unwritten, untested, and out of time.
(3) They are seriously out of time to do something about those 3.5 to 5 million people whose insurance has been cancelled. To be covered by Jan 1, they have to get a new plan by Dec 15, which means 140,000 to 200,000 of them need to be enrolling every day between now and then, including weekends and the Thangsfrickingiving holiday, which ain't gonna happen ya'll.
(4) Adverse selection a.k.a. the death spiral a.k.a. the shit spiral is coming. See Ace's post last night on the Kentucky exchange's obvious precursor to the shit spiral.
(5) Next year we get to do this same song and dance with the group plans as the employer mandate kicks in.
(6) Lawsuits. There are some nontrivial lawsuits pending including the contraception mandate challenges and the suits based on the fact that the statute doesn't actually allow HHS to offer subsidies on the federal exchange or impose the employer mandate on states that didn't implement their own exchanges.
(7) There are still 40 million uninsured Americans according to President Obama. Which seems to me to be just a bit of a failure of the aims of Obamacare.
 The plans on the exchanges likely will not let people keep the provider networks of doctors, hospitals and specialists they currently use, making continuity of care impossible. [Andy]
 Obamacare appears to be nothing more that an enormous expansion of Medicaid, the worst-performing health program in the country. [Andy]
What am I missing.
Monday, November 18, 2013
Election day 2014 is less than a year away, and Senate Democrats running for re-election know it in their bones, especially these red- or purple-state democrats:
- Mark Begich, Alaska
- Mark Pryor, Arkansas
- Mark Udall, Colorado
- Mary Landrieu, Louisiana
- Jeanne Shaheen, New Hampshire
- Tom Udall, New Mexico
- Kay Hagan, North Carolina
- Mark Warner, Virginia
And how do you think Democrats looking to replace retiring Democratic Senators in West Virginia, Montana, South Dakota, Iowa and Michigan are feeling right about now?
That's 13 Democratic Senate seats that, if Obamacare implodes, would be up for grabs.
Here's my list, riffing off Karl's, but with some added TRG secret sauce:
- Identity theft - What happens when scary news stories start appearing about people who have had their identities stolen by Obamacare "navigators"? Given what we know already, would you just start uploading your most private financial and medical information to healthcare.gov? Let me tell you -- the soccer moms who will drive this debate have been scared for ten years (sometimes unnecessarily and for profit) by the boogeyman of identity theft. They are going to run for the hills if it looks like Obamacare puts them at risk.
- Costs explode - What happens when millions of Americans start realizing that they've essentially been taxed at a confiscatory rate (through the hidden tax of higher health insurance premiums, deductibles and co-pays) to buy health insurance for other people they don't know? What happens when people realize that they won't be able to buy their kids braces, or send them to Catholic school, or save for their college, or afford their piano lessons, or dance lessons, or summer camps? It's one thing to be altruistic in the abstract -- everyone should have health insurance. It's another thing to be altruistic in the concrete -- I should pay for Joe Blow on 27th Street to have health insurance by giving up my family vacation, or my kid's school, or the new kitchen we've been wanting for ten years. In other words, this is the moment when the passive voice of desires ("people should be given health insurance") turns into the active voice of reality ("I must pay for other people's health insurance"). Again, the soccer moms who will drive this debate in the end care a lot more about their own kids than they do about someone else's kids. That's natural, and that's reality.
- People lose their doctors - What happens when healthcare networks to shave costs start limiting the different doctors you can go to for treatment, and one of the doctors happens to be your doctor? Again, if the soccer moms start realizing that they no longer can go to the OB-GYN they've been going to for fifteen years through two or three children, they are going to have mass conniption fits.
- The employer mandate kicks in, and employer-based insurance becomes a thing of the past. This is going to happen. If you were an employer, why wouldn't you immediately dump your plans and tell your employees, so, sorry, we just can't afford this anymore, but instead we'll give you a modest raise and you can look for coverage on healthcare.gov. If you're an employer struggling to make your margins, you're going to do this. In fact, if you didn't do it, you'd likely be breaching your fiduciary duties to your shareholders.
- People die. Remember the old saw from journalism, "if it bleeds, it leads"? Journalists are lefties, sure, for the most part, but they are also careerists, and someone is going to smell a Pulitzer in the story line that some aspect of Obamacare -- either kicking people off their coverage, or making them lose their doctor, or some other hidden limitation in the umpteen thousand pages of laws and regulations and rules means they don't get treatment X or drug Y -- caused someone to die. It will happen. And when it does, people will go nuts.
Sunday, November 17, 2013
Orson Swindle, who served as an FTC commissioner from 1997 to 2005, says there are a number of practices that, if HealthCare.gov were a private entity, would result in its being “taken to the shed and horsewhipped” by government regulators.
President Obama’s oft-repeated falsehood, “If you like your plan, you can keep your plan” — something the administration knew was untrue — would almost certainly be a textbook case of deceptive advertising, punishable under Section 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act, which prohibits “unfair or deceptive acts or practice in or affecting commerce.” This includes a “representation, omission or practice that is likely to mislead the consumer,” such that the consumer would be “likely to have chosen differently but for the deception.”
... Private companies engaged in HealthCare.gov’s kind of behavior would face severe consequences, Swindle tells National Review Online. “Businessmen would lose their businesses, salesmen would lose their licenses — that’s the kind of thing we are talking about here,” he says. “The bottom line is that no private entity would be allowed to get away with what the Obama administration is trying to get away with.”
Swindle served both Democratic and Republican administrations at the FTC, so this isn't conservative ax-grinding. The reality is that social contract only works -- and we only grant immunities to public servants -- based on the premise that elected representatives and public servants will be honest and devoted to the public good. Lying to the public is a fundamental breach of that social contract. The normal course for redress is to vote the scoundrels out, not to prosecute them.
On the other hand, I'm not sure that the federal criminal fraud statutes don't apply to government employees. And, notably, a "scheme or artifice to defraud," as defined by 18 US 1346, "includes a scheme or artifice to deprive another of the intangible right of honest services." Moreover, as you consider the next scandal to erupt from Obamacare -- which will undoubtedly involve widespread identity theft by Obama's "navigators" -- think about this federal criminal statute, 18 USC 1905:
Whoever, being an officer or employee of the United States or of any department or agency thereof... publishes, divulges, discloses, or makes known in any manner or to any extent not authorized by law any information coming to him in the course of his employment or official duties... which information concerns or relates to... the identity, confidential statistical data, amount or source of any income, profits, losses, or expenditures of any person... shall be fined under this title, or imprisoned not more than one year, or both; and shall be removed from office or employment.
I'm just sayin'. We may need a special prosector soon.
Friday, November 15, 2013
Obama always gives the vague impression that routine features of humdrum human existence are entirely alien to him. Marie Antoinette, informed that the peasantry could no longer afford bread, is alleged to have responded, “Let them eat cake.” There is no evidence these words ever passed her lips, but certainly no one ever accused her of saying, “If you like your cake, you can keep your cake,” and then having to walk it back with “What we’re also discovering is that cake is complicated to buy.” That contribution to the annals of monarchical unworldliness had to await the reign of Queen Barry Antoinette...
Will history remember Upton for his legislative triumph? Maybe. But maybe they'll remember him more as the uncle of a certain supermodel:
I'd vote for that.
Thursday, November 14, 2013
We start with a typica Obama-ism... he's "not happy" about something that he was responsible for himself. Obama continues to act as if he's just a taking a White House tour, and not the President who is actually supposed to be managing the government. And I am so tired with the trope of how "deeply concerned" he is. Not just "concerned," but "deeply concerned." Beyond being a cliche, it's a complete falsehood... people who are deeply concerned about something try to do their job correctly. They don't go play golf 150 times and then, when the business goes bankrupt or the case gets dismissed or the patient dies, say that they are "deeply concerned" after the fact.
Wrong... it means the opposite. If only 100,000 people out of the 47 million uninsured bothered to persevere long enough to successfully enroll in an Obamacare plan (and putting aside the expansive definition of "enroll" Obama is using), that means that about 46.9/47 million people didn't care enough to keep trying over the course of a whole month. If being "uninsured" were such a hardship, the number should have been much, much higher, and if the website didn't work, you should have seen mass demonstrations outside government offices. You didn't see any of that. This is a vast new program built on a fallacy of "demand" for healthcare.
MORE "FISKING" BELOW THE FOLD!
And I don't care what anyone says, we're still a great country, and we're still the only country that can do this sort of thing:
The first significant international aid since Typhoon Haiyan hit started flowing Thursday with the arrival of the USS George Washington aircraft carrier. Helicopters began ferrying in food and clean water for regions that have seen little help in days....
All day, four U.S. Air Force C-130 cargo planes flew aid and personnel to Tacloban, where four tilt-rotor Osprey planes, able to land like helicopters, were loaded with goods for delivery to remote areas.
The U.S. planes "are a big help, as there are only three C-130s from the Philippine government," said Corazon "Dinky" Soliman, secretary of the Department of Social Welfare and Development in the Philippines, as she oversaw relief efforts in central Tacloban.
The U.S. aircraft carrier, which carries a fleet of boats and helicopters, "is going to be a game-changer," Marine Brig. Gen. Paul Kennedy, commanding general of the 3rd Marine Expeditionary Brigade in Japan, said....
Off the coast, one could see the massive silhouette of the George Washington, which began serving as a floating staging area for U.S. and other helicopters to resupply and refuel before lifting loads to Tacloban airport, said Lt. Cmdr. James Stockman, public affairs officer for the ship.
The ship is part of the U.S. Navy's 7th Fleet and is accompanied by seven other ships that make up the George Washington Strike Group. The aircraft carrier has a crew of 5,500 and brings with it 21 helicopters, which can be used to access hard-to-reach areas.
"(The ship) has distiller plants on board that can make 400,000 gallons of fresh water every day," Stockman said. "Some of this water will be put into containers to be airlifted to those Philippine communities in need. We will also airlift pallets of bottled water that we will take on via underway replenishment — where we connect to a supply ship and transfer cargo at sea."