"It profits me but little that a vigilant authority always protects the tranquillity of my pleasures and constantly averts all dangers from my path, without my care or concern, if this same authority is the absolute master of my liberty and my life."

--Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

Thursday, May 24, 2012

Scott Walker's Preference Cascade

There are some really atrocious ads being run by Democratic gubernatorial candidate Tom Barrett in Wisconsin accusing Scott Walker of some unspecified crimes on the trumped-up basis that he hasn't publicly revealed emails he provided to a John Doe investigation of certain members of his staff.   Putting aside the fact that Walker himself initiated the investigation, and has never been accused of any wrongdoing, it could very well be illegal for him to reveal information he provided to the John Doe investigation.

In any event, the ads appear to be backfiring, as people realize that Barrett has no positive message and cannot even bring himself to mention Act 10, the supposedly union-busting budget-balancing legislation Walker pushed through, for the simple reason that it has worked so well, including for the City of Milwaukee.   Here is the latest polling:

If this is even close to right, the recall election next week is going to be a wipe out for Walker.   That will do a few things:

  • Discredit public employee unions and embolden conservative politicians across the country who realize that they need to be reined in.
  • Put Wisconsin in play in November.
  • Make Scott Walker a major player nationally.

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