Oh, let’s just skip the rest of the preliminaries and go right to the sample. The D/R/I on this poll is a ridiculous 45/36/19 that assumes Democrats will add six points to their 2008 turnout while independents largely stay home. In 2008, recall, the exit polls showed the electorate at 39/31/30, and the 2010 midterm put it at 36/37/28. Has anyone produced any evidence of such a wave of Democratic enthusiasm? Even the CBS/NYT/Q-poll today showed GOP enthusiasm leading by 14 in Ohio, 57/43.
Democrats will not turn out in greater numbers in Ohio in 2012 than they did in 2008 during the wave of Obamamania. Independents are a growing segment of the electorate, not a shrinking segment. Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats. Every responsible poll should reflect these basic facts. If they don't, they're worthless.