"It profits me but little that a vigilant authority always protects the tranquillity of my pleasures and constantly averts all dangers from my path, without my care or concern, if this same authority is the absolute master of my liberty and my life."

--Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Drunkblogging the Debate Announcement Post and Debate Predictions

The Regular Guy will be drunkblogging the debate again tonight.   Predictions?

1.  Obama will try to channel his inner Uncle Joe to be more "aggressive."   This will come off as being unnatural, but there are enough people out there (the MSNBC crowd, the reality-TV audience, etc.) who think that aggressiveness and effectiveness are synonymous.   So he'll look like he's doing better.   Meanwhile, he still doesn't have command of his brief, and will stumble over facts and figures.   And, of course, he can't defend the indefensible -- trillion dollar deficits, high unemployment, foreign policy disarray and military weakness.   But a little bit less passivity will give people a hook to hank their hats on to claim that he did better.

2. Romney will be Romney.   A little bit boring, but stable and presidential.   He passed the bar last time, this time is just confirmation.

3. Candy Crowley will try her best to drag Obama over the finish line.   She will be quantum leaps up in obnoxiousness over Jim Lehrer and Martha Raddatz.   Expect a lot of questions about the "specifics" of Romney's plan on taxes.

4. The mainstream media will do their best to proclaim Obama the victor in the debate if he has even only a marginally better performance.

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