The Washington Post poll out today has President Obama up three points nationally, 49-46. But then you look down the cross-tabs and you see... it's a poll that surveys 35% Democrats and only 26% Republicans, a D+9 party ID difference! So the poll is based essentially on the premise that the electorate in 2012 will be even more energized to vote for Obama than it was in 2008, when the electorate was D+7.
Of course, if the electorate is more like 2010, when Americans, fed up with Obamacare and Obamamonics, broke evenly for Democrats and Republicans, then the poll would actually show something more like a Romney lead of six points. Can't have that at the liberal WaPo, now can we?
There will be extraordinary pressure on MSM outlets like the Washington Post and New York Times and CNN, NBC, ABC, CBS, etc. to create the narrative of a big Obama comeback after the second debate tomorrow night. If he does better, if he's more "aggressive," if he's less somnolent, they'll go out of their way to declare him the victory and launch the story of his comeback.