1. Obama will talk about ending the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and his role in the Arab Spring, arguing that while it's not too soon to declare victory in the former, it's too soon to declare defeat regarding the latter.
2. Obama will mention that he "got" bin Laden about a hundred times. Romney won't question the morality, legality, or efficacy of extra-judicial murders of our enemies abroad, and the moderator won't push Obama about it. (The moderator also will not push Obama about his promises to close Gitmo, try terrorists as criminals in federal court, etc. The moderator won't push Obama about drone strikes generally as a tool of American foreign policy. What happened to liberals?)
3. Obama will hit Romney on China as a "flip flopper" because he outsourced jobs there in his Bain days.
4. Obama will express outrage at even being questioned about his various "narratives" about the Benghazi attacks.
5. Obama will try to do a Johnson "mushroom cloud" bit on Romney as Goldwater regarding Iran and Israel, saying Romney's bellicosity toward Iran could lead to war in the Middle East.
6. Romney will try mightily to draw the connections between a strong economy and strength in foreign policy, arguing that energy independence will improve our options in the Middle East and defund radical Islamists, lowering our deficits will defund China's military, enhancing free trade will bring us closer to our allies, etc.
7. Romney at some point ought to say, but probably won't say something like this: "What does it say about President Obama that Chavez, Castro and Putin all support him?"