"It profits me but little that a vigilant authority always protects the tranquillity of my pleasures and constantly averts all dangers from my path, without my care or concern, if this same authority is the absolute master of my liberty and my life."

--Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Obamacare Train Wreck Alert!

Let's start with a few axioms, just like we'd do if we were doing geometry proofs.

1. Politicians want power.
2. Politicians want to be re-elected.
3. Politicians only refuse to run for re-election if they know they can't win.
4. Politicians only know they can't win if they have become associated with something the public hates, or something that the public will hate once they know more about it.

Now let's apply these axioms to this story:

Senator Max Baucus (D, Mont.) will retire in 2014 rather than face a tough reelction battle, according to the Washington Post, which cites Democratic strategists familiar with his plans.
Baucus, who helped author the federal healthcare law, is currently serving his sixth term in office. His involvement in the drafting and eventual passage of Obamacare, which remains deeply unpopular, meant that he would have faced a difficult race in 2014 if he chose to run for a seventh term. The Montana Democrat made headlines last week when he referred to Obamacare as a “train wreck.”
You think Baucus suddenly realized that the campaign ads for his opponent would write themselves?  

"Baucus... a train wreck for America."

Rats.   Leaving.   Sinking.   Ship.

They know that this is going to be a debacle and they want to get as far away from it as they can.

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