"It profits me but little that a vigilant authority always protects the tranquillity of my pleasures and constantly averts all dangers from my path, without my care or concern, if this same authority is the absolute master of my liberty and my life."

--Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

Monday, July 8, 2013

Just Another Day at the (IRS) Office

Apparently the IRS has accidentally released thousands of personal Social Security numbers in violation of.... well, the law, privacy, simple decency, etc.   Here's the story:

Every so often, 527s have to file tax forms to the IRS, which then get added to a database. The database itself is hardly a secret; the IRS has been sending updated records routinely to Public.Resource.org and other public-interest groups, and it's a favorite among political reporters. But when the IRS told the group's founder, Carl Malamud, to disregard the Form 990-Ts included in the agency's January release, he took a closer look at the files in question. 
After analyzing the breach, Malamud wrote a letter to the IRS pointing out 10 instances where a social security number was accidentally revealed on the government's website—just a small sample of the larger breach.  
Just the day before, Malamud had filed another letter to the agency describing a problem with the 990-Ts. Of over 3,000 tax returns contained in the January update, 319 contained sensitive data the agency should have scrubbed, Malamud wrote in the July 1 report that he filed to the inspector general's office. In that mixup, some 2,319 social security numbers—perhaps more—were revealed.
A larger point needs to be made.   The first principle from which all liberalism flows is a belief in the omniscience and (hence) omnicompetence of government agencies. The first principle of conservatism (at least Hayekian economic conservatism) is that government agencies can never know enough to be able to direct a command economy (which is what Obamacare is essentially trying to do with the health sector, an economy that would be larger than all but a handful of first-world countries). The daily stories of incompetence from the Obama administration proves that we're right and they're wrong.

Obamacare and Moral Hazard

Economists have a term that is useful to describe many aspects of Obamacare -- "moral hazard."   Insurance companies have a similar concept -- "adverse selection."   The concepts essentially define situations where economic incentives are structured so as to reward fraud with very low risk of punishment, or to reward free-riding on the wealth of others; under such circumstances, fraud and free-riding will predictably occur.   Wikipedia provides a telling example:

Health insurance is an example of a service that suffers both from adverse selection and from moral hazard, and often it is difficult to differentiate the two. Here are some examples:
  • The insured person may choose to conceal certain unhealthy habits or genetic traits that make the insurance attractive for the person but unprofitable for the company. This is an example of adverse selection: The person getting insured has more information about the quality of his or her health than the insurance company.
  • After getting insured, the person is more careless about health. For instance, he/she may take fewer dietary precautions, smoke or drink more, or indulge in physical activities dangerous to the health. This is an example of moral hazard.
There is some fuzziness between the problem of concealing a habit prior to getting insured, and becoming more reckless after getting insured.
 
Obamacare's employer and individual mandates obviously provide multiple versions of moral hazard.   For the employers, the incentives of Obamacare drive them to make decisions that might be viewed (by some) as immoral -- they are cutting full-time employees to get below the 50 employee threshold, and/or they are cutting hours of employees below 30 hours, all to avoid having to provide insurance to their employees.   Meanwhile, for individuals, particularly young individuals, the "fine"/tax for not buying insurance is so low, and the promise that you can't be turned down for coverage even if you have a pre-existing condition is so utopian (and foolhardy), that no rational individual under 35 or so and in good health should buy health insurance, period, regardless of whether they end up free-riding on the rest of us.  

But here's one I never would have believed, a mini-bombshell that the Obama Adminstration dropped (as is their wont) on the Friday of a holiday weekend:

If you thought the delay in the employer mandate was bad news for Obamacare, just wait. On Friday, Sarah Kliff and Sandhya Somashekhar of the Washington Post discovered that the Obama administration had buried in the Federal Register the announcement that the government won’t be able to verify whether or not applicants for Obamacare’s insurance exchange subsidies are actually qualified for the aid, in the 16 states that are setting up their own exchanges. Instead, until at least 2015, these states will be able to “accept the applicant’s attestation [regarding eligibility] without further verification.”...

The government is going with what Kliff and Somashekhar call “the honor system.” “We have concluded that the…proposed rule is not feasible for implementation for the first year of operations,” say the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. “The exchange may accept the applicant’s attestation regarding enrollment in an eligible employer-sponsored plan…without further verification, instead of following the procedure in §155.320(d)(3)(iii).”

And it’s not just there. The feds will also allow people to gain means-tested subsidized coverage on the exchanges without having to…test their means. “For income verification, for the first year of operations, we are providing Exchanges with temporarily expanded discretion to accept an attestation of projected annual household income without further verification.”...

The goal here is plain as day. The Obama administration is laser-focused on making sure that enough Americans enroll onto Obamacare-subsidized health insurance platforms, because if they do, it will be politically impossible for Republicans to repeal Obamacare in the future.

Politics ain’t beanbag, they say. But deliberately encouraging tens of billions of dollars of waste, fraud, and abuse in order to achieve a political objective is profoundly immoral. It’s a breach of faith with the hard-working taxpayers whose paychecks are being harnessed to a cause many of them don’t support.
 
In other words, the Obama Administration is like the cops walking the beat in Little Italy when the Mafia Dons ruled the streets.   In exchange for payoffs (votes), they are promising to look the other way while one group of citizens (the uninsured) commit massive fraud, essentially stealing tax dollars from another group of citizens (me, you and people like us).   They might as well announce that they aren't going to prosecute burglary as a federal policy.

Sheesh!   And these are the same people who ask us to believe that they are really really really committed to border enforcement!
 

The Bushes at Peace

Here's a terrific interview with former President George W. Bush and Laura Bush that I saw over the weekend.   What an amazingly nice, decent and disciplined man!   Note how he refuses to rise to the bait of criticizing President Obama, a courtesy that he has so rarely received in return.   A Christian gentleman, if that term has any meaning anymore.

By the way, for you liberals out there, just try to absorb how beloved George W. Bush is in Africa and then examine your own consciences about how you've viewed him and conservatives generally over the years.


 

Sunday, July 7, 2013

Girls of the Day - My Girls at Nationals!

The Regular Daughters' ceili team took third place (out of 37 teams) at the National Irish Dance competition over the 4th of July weekend in Anaheim, California.   The only two teams that beat them were the #1 and #2 teams from the World Championships.   Wow.   How did I get so lucky?  

Anyway, here they are in their finery, looking beautiful as always (first and third from the left):

Friday, July 5, 2013

Girl of the Day - Hot!

Pulling bushes in the backyard.   Hot, dirty, sweaty work.   I need a palate cleanser:



There, that's better.

Birthday Today - Robbie Robertson

Is every great rocker 70 now?   Robbie Robertson is, as of today.

Here he is from The Band's great concert movie, The Last Waltz, with Eric Clapton:


Thursday, July 4, 2013

Postponing Obamacare Implementation

I haven't yet blogged on the Obama Administration's decision to delay implementation of the employer mandate of Obamacare for a year, until Jan. 1, 2015.   It has been hard to decide what angle to take.

1. Arrogance.  There's the arrogance of power as the President presumes to rewrite a duly-enacted law by fiat.   Congress said that implementation of the employer mandate was to occur on Jan. 1, 2014.   By what right does Obama delay it a year?   Where is it written in the Constitution that Presidents get to decide which laws they will enforce and when?   Could a Republican President in 2017 simply decide that he was going to unilaterally have a one-year moratorium on enforcement of laws that he doesn't like (or, in Obama's case, laws that are politically-awkward for him)?   Which leads me to...

2. Cynicism.  The cynicism of delaying the implementation past the 2014 elections.   Everyone with eyes to see knows what is going to happen when the employer mandate hits... there will be layoffs, there will be cutbacks on hours, there will be a spike in unemployment and, most of all, there will be unavoidable (even by our in-the-tank media) stories of outrage by citizens who lose their jobs or their healthcare as a result of Obamacare.   "Train wreck" doesn't tell the half of it.   This is going to be a full-on epic disaster.   We don't want that with the Senate majority in the balance, now do we?

3. Hypocrisy.   The sheer hypocrisy of this decision is staggering.   What did Dems tell us about the "uninsured" that Obamacare was supposed to help?   That people were dying without health insurance.   Well, using their logic, how many people will die in the year that Obama delays implementation of Obamacare?   If the tables were turned, you know that the media and the Dems would be all over this angle, saying that a Republican President had killed people through his policy decision.   Because it's Obama... crickets.

4. Stupidity.   In the end, though, the most obvious angle is probably the best.   Occam's Razor and all that.   The ostensible reason for the delay is that the system is too "complex" to be implemented in three years.   Well, isn't that the exact reason why Republicans argued that Obamacare was a bad bill to begin with?   Didn't we tell everyone that having the federal government take over one-sixth of the largest economy in the world, take over a health-care sector that is bigger than the economies of France or Canada, well, maybe, that wasn't such a good idea?   The people who can't run the Post Office?   The people who can't get the potholes filled in?   Maybe giving all that new responsibility to a sclerotic government bureacracy wasn't the best idea in the world?  

Hayek wrote about seventy or more years ago about the "knowledge problem" in command economies and why free markets, where knowledge is discovered through the operations of the market and the pricing mechanism, are necessary for a functioning economy.   Command economies don't work precisely because a centralized government cannot martial the knowledge necessary to "run" the economy.   Instead, free markets permit the economy to run itself, using the dispersed knowledge that is only available to individual actors pursuing their own ends through their own means.   Hayek was right then, and he's right now, but the libs never learn.   They just keep making the same stupid mistakes, over and over again.

It's the complexity, stupid.

Lest We Forget - Happy 4th of July!






 

Girl of the Day - Dexter Version

The final season is upon us.   A good time to review the girls in Dexter Morgan's life.

1) Rita.   His wife.   This didn't end well.   She died at the hands of Dexter's rival, the Trinity killer.   She never knew about Dexter's "other life"... unless Trinity, in an ultimate act of cruelty, told her at the end.






































2) Lila.   His psycho British girlfriend.   Also didn't end well.   She shouldn't have messed with Dex.





































3) Lumen.   His girlfriend/partner-in-vengeance.   Not a psycho, and maybe Dexter's best actual relationship, because she knew who he was and accepted it, even though she herself was normal.   She escaped... but will she return?





































4) Hannah.   His latest girlfriend/partner-in-serial killing.   Different from Lumen, because she too was a serial killer and a psycho.   But way, way up there on the hotness scale.





































5) Debra Morgan.   And, of course, his foul-mouthed half-sister, who appears to have always loved him, but now hates him because he has corrupted her.   She found out about his murders by catching him in the act, then helped him cover it up and, ultimately, committed murder herself to save him.   Now she's tortured by what she has done.    Will Deb end up confessing and turning Dexter in?   Will she take matters into her own hands and kill him?   What a great character played to the hilt by Jennifer Carpenter.





Wednesday, July 3, 2013

Wrong Side of History




























Have we ever had a more feckless foreign policy administration?   I can't imagine one.   Defeat and retreat in Afghanistan, death to our Ambassador in Libya, betting on the wrong horse in Egypt (and by wrong I mean, not just that Morsi turned out to be the weak horse, but also that Morsi turned out to be an Islamist thug or else a stooge for the Islamist thugs in the Muslim Brotherhood).    Obama is doing nearly everything wrong, and yet 45% of the people would probably still vote for him against any Republican.  

Why?   Because Racism!

Coach K on Lebron




































Coach K, interviewed in the NY Post, talks about Lebron James:

Q: What’s your assessment of LeBron?
A: LeBron is brilliant. Brilliant. He’s not smart, he’s brilliant. His recall, I compare him to somebody who can play [an instrument] by feel.
I can show him and the team five things that Argentina does in a team meeting, offensively. And by the time we get to the court and walk through, he knows them already. And he’s already thought of ways of defending. So when you ask him well what do you think about this, he can give you input. A lot of times his input, that’s what we do.   
After London I told a lot of people, he’s what I call, ‘Mastering it.’ He and the game are one. It’s not just about X’s and O’s. He’s 28, I think right now, and it’s all hit in the last couple of years. He’s one of the greatest ever.
 
The Regular Son and I have talked in the past about how smart the really top level NBA players have to be to make decisions on the fly in games that are that much better than the decisions of the players around them, all of whom are also NBA players, i.e., world-class athletes.   Not "street smart" not "basketball IQ smart."   Just smart, high-IQ smart.    Really really smart.   Interesting to see Coach K, who also is really really smart, see the same thing in Lebron.

Girl of the Day - Jan Smithers

Jan Smithers turns 64 today.   The only role of any note she ever had was in the great 70s sitcom, WKRP in Cincinnati, as "Bailey Quarters," the assistant station manager whose glasses could not hide the essential hotness underneath.   Here she is on the show:




















And here she is as a young model in the 1960s.









Is it OK Now for the Media to Admit that the Left's Idea of George W. Bush Was, Not Just Incorrect, But a Lie?

George W. Bush is beloved in Africa for his huge and historic support of AIDS treatment and prevention on the continent.   This week he is in Africa, helping renovate a women's clinic in Zambia. I'm not sure it's gotten much press outside of Texas, but it should.   These types of pictures expose the Left's picture of Bush -- the mean-spirited, probably racist Texan -- as a gross and despicable lie.  






























What a nice man.

Monday, July 1, 2013

Obama and Egypt

Obama appears to have been on the wrong side of history (again!) in Egypt, siding with the Islamists of the Muslim Brotherhood.   Now, in what has been described as the largest political demonstration in the history of the world, Egyptians appear to be trying to take back their country from Obama's friends.   Don't believe me?   Believe your eyes:































Anne Patterson is the U.S. ambassador to Egypt.  

Look, say what you want about George W. Bush... you didn't have to worry that he would all of a sudden start siding with the terrorists.




 

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Birthday Today - Frank Loesser

Frank Loesser was born today in 1910.   Not quite a Richard Rodgers or an Oscar Hammerstein, Loesser wrote the music and lyrics for what is probably my all-time favorite musical, Guys and Dolls.   Here's one of many showstoppers, "A Bushel and a Peck," sung by Miss Adelaide and the Hot Box Girls:


Judges

I have been in trial all week, so I haven't been blogging much.   The trial has been fascinating for odd reason -- we've been zealously defending against a case that is so weak and, frankly, pathetic, that it never should have been brought.   Ironically, two of the main news stories I missed because I was in court were also cases that never should have been brought.

First, the Supreme Court's decision on the Defense of Marriage Act, declaring the law -- supported at the time by, among others, Senators Harry Reid and Joe Biden, and signed by President Bill Clinton -- unconstitutional on the bizarre grounds that its sole legislative motivation was hatred toward gays.   But, as Justices Scalia, Roberts, Thomas and Alito all argued in the dissent, the case should not have come to the Court at all.   The defendant, the United States (i.e., the Obama Administration), did not disagree with the Plaintiff, and supported the Plaintiff's position that DOMA is unconstitutional.   Well, fine, the Obama Administration is free to do that as a political position.   But as a matter of law, when the two parties agree, there is not adversity, and thus no "case or controversy," and federal courts have no jurisdiction.   This was self-evidently an "advisory opinion," which in itself is unconstitutional, and has long been understood as such.   The judges should never have let the case get to court.

Second, the Zimmerman trial continues, albeit farcically.   The prosecution seems to almost be trying to blow the case... the evidence that they've put on so far seems to have established that Trayvon Martin was on top of Zimmerman beating him up MMA-style, when Zimmerman defended himself.   And their "star" witness, Martin's supposed girlfriend, was apparently so ridiculous that no reasonable jury could take her testimony as credible.   Moreover, from what I understand (simply from very cursory news reports I heard), she apparently exposed that, if there were a racial animus motivating someone that night, it was Trayvon Martin's bias against white people, since he apparently told her that he was being followed by a "creepy ass cracker."     Again, this seems like a case that never should have gotten to court.   A judge should have thrown it out long before this.

The reasons why the two courts let these cases actually come to court are different, of course, but different in an instructive way.   In the Supreme Court, the judges took the case because they wanted to make a "decision," i.e., they wanted to insert themselves into the issue.   In the Zimmerman case, in a trial court, the judge let the case go through because he didn't want to make a decision that could be criticized or appealed.   Trial court judges (including the one in my case) often kick hard decisions down the road with the assumption that the parties will settle (in criminal cases through a plea bargain), or else that the jury will make his decision for him.   But doing so, particularly in the civil context, adds tremendous costs and delays to the legal process, and in the criminal context, puts citizens in unnecessary jeopardy of the loss of their liberty.

This is a long-winded way of saying that, in my opinion, the American judiciary needs, not reform via constitutional amendment or legislative act, but a change in attitude.   Judges at the highest level, in the appeals courts and at the Supreme Court, need to be much more reticent about deciding issues that ought to be decided by the people through their elected representatives (abortion, gay marriage, etc.).   But judges at the trial court level need to be much more aggressive about deciding cases early (and more cheaply) when cases are so weak that they ought never to have been brought at all.

Girl of the Day - Too Much Rain!

We've had too much rain in Milwaukee so far this summer.

Need.   Sun.   Must.   Have.   Sun.




































There, that's better.

***

By the way, that's Kate Bock from SI's 2013 swimsuit issue.

Rudimentary Economics Versus Rudimentary Politics

Sarah Palin made a good point in a speech this week about the immigration "reform" bill that has just passed the Senate.   Palin called the bill " a "sad betrayal of working class Americans of every ethnicity who will see their wages lowered."

She's right.   This is rudimentary economics -- the law of supply and demand.  Labor is what economists call an "input"; it must be purchased in the marketplace just like a carmaker would purchase steel for car chassis, and energy to run its factory.   If there is more steel on the world market, the price the carmaker has to pay goes down; if less, it goes up.   If there is more abundant energy, the cost for that "input" goes down; if less, it goes up, with a concomitant loss of profit.

We do not have a labor shortage in America, we have surplus labor.  We have millions of long-term unemployed, millions of young people struggling to find jobs (often unable to pay off student loans).   Not surprisingly, then, given the law of supply and demand, we have seen flat wages and slimmed-down benefit packages.   And, remember, benefits (health insurance, pensions, etc.) are just different forms of compensation -- the more competition in the job market, the lower the total compensation (wages and benefits) companies have to pay.   That is good for labor costs from the companies' perspective, but it's bad for workers. 

But, while the economics is rudimentary, there is also the sad fact of rudimentary politics.   Politicians (and this goes for left and right, liberal and conservative, Democrat and Republican) don't care about the lives of real working people.   They may care about an abstraction called "the People," but that is lip service.   Politicians care about getting elected and re-elected, gaining power and keeping power and dispensing power to their friends in the elites.   This certainly applies to the Chuck Schumers and Harry Reids in the Democratic Senate leadership, who want immigration reform and amnesty because they want tens of millions of new Democratic voters; but it also applies to Marco Rubio of Florida, who apparently wants more than anything to be President, and apparently thinks the way to do so is to become a heroic "centrist."  

He's wrong.   Democrats like centrist Republicans like McCain and Graham and Rubio because they can roll them on issues like immigration where the elite opinion in Washington is operating in a realm of fantasy.   But they won't vote for them in the end.   Shumer and Reid's political calculations in my view are more accurate -- amnesty will mean a permanent Democratic majority, because Mexican Hispanics moving into a state like California will be more likely to gravitate toward big government and dependency on government services and, hence, the party of Big Government, the Dems.  

Either way, the point is... rudimentary politics is trumping rudimentary economics.  

Friday, June 28, 2013

The Real (Albeit Belated) Democratic Platform 2008





































Forget about the corruption of the Obama administration, the lying about Benghazi, the spectacle of IRS officials taking the Fifth before Congress, the blatant cronyism of Solyndra, the moral midgetry of Fast and Furious, the Orwellian intrusiveness of the NSA scandal.

Forget the incompetence.

Forget the nastiness, the "punish your enemies" rhetoric, the disdain for fellow Americans as "bitter-clingers," the constant drumbeat that people who disagree are evil or racist or homophobic or anti-woman or anti-immigrant.

Forget the sanctimoniousness, the sneering, the condescension.  

Simply think of this.   If Obama's platform in 2008 had looked like this:

  • Gay marriage.
  • Women in combat.
  • Nationalized healthcare.
  • Higher taxes.
  • Retreat and defeat in the Middle East.
  • Runaway federal debt and trillion dollar-deficits every year.  
Would he have been elected?  

***

P.S. Sorry for not blogging lately... I've been getting ready for and having a big trial.   Next week we've only got closing arguments, and then we'll wait for the verdict.  

Saturday, June 22, 2013

Oh, By the Way, Your Country Is About to Change Radically, But We Don't Know How

The immigration bill (or rather the competing bills) are festivals of obfuscation.   No one (again!) really knows what's in them, and we'll have to pass them to find out the hidden disasters lurking within.  Yuval Levin at NRO has this nugget today:

The Hoeven-Corker amendment to the Gang of Eight bill is essentially a new bill. It is almost 1,200 pages long. Some parts of it are identical to some of the provisions of the original Gang of Eight bill, some parts are very different, and some parts are slightly different in ways that could prove very important but difficult to understand in a hurry. But it has to be understood in a hurry. Given the length and complexity of this proposal, I think it is fair to say that not more than a handful of the senators voting on it on Monday—which is apparently when the vote is scheduled—will really understand it in any detail. There is almost no way any of the senators voting on it could have read it all, and it’s unlikely even their staff members could do so in a thorough and responsible way in that time. Only the people who wrote it will know what it says, and I imagine it was written in parts by numerous people from several Senate offices. That means there is probably no one who really knows what it says. It also seems likely that, if the amendment is adopted on Monday, the vote on the final bill would come too soon thereafter to allow CBO to re-score the much-amended bill, and so to offer some sense of how things have changed in terms of costs, economic effects, future immigration flows (legal and illegal) and other key issues. 
Is this any way to make such an important set of decisions about the country’s future?
 
Well, in a word, no.  How about a constitutional amendment saying that any legislation proposed by Congress must be published online in full and final form 30 days before any vote on it?   Who would be afraid of such a requirement?   We're changing the nature of our society (Obamacare) and the nature of our citizenship (immigration reform) basically with twenty-something staffers fresh out of law school pulling all-nighters to cut and paste legislative Rube Goldberg contraptions.   That ain't what the Founding Fathers envisioned.

Also, how about a constitutional amendment limiting single bills to twenty pages?   Is clarity in legislation too much to ask?      

Friday, June 21, 2013

More Nonsense from the Most Brilliant Family Evah!

Chelsea Clinton apparently spoke recently at a feminist event:

From the stage at the recent Women Deliver conference, former US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s daughter Chelsea revealed that her much-admired maternal grandmother was the child of unwed teenage parents who “did not have access to services that are so crucial that Planned Parenthood helps provide.”
 
And, by "access to services that are so crucial that Planned Parenthood helps provide," she of course means abortion.   She is, it seems fair to say, wishing that her great-grandparents had had access to abortion services when they were "unwed teenage parents," so that her grandmother could have been aborted.

Now, remember... Bill Clinton was the Rhodes Scholar, smartest President ever.   Hillary Clinton was the smartest First Lady ever.   And their only child, Chelsea, has been feted since childhood as a brilliant future political star... a graduate of the toney DC-area prep school Sidwell Friends, Stanford, Oxford, etc.   We have been programmed by the media to nod vigorously when anyone lauds their intelligence, just as we've been told for a half-century that Adlai Stevenson was smarter than Dwight Eisenhower, that Kennedy was smarter than Nixon, that Carter was smarter than Reagan, that Gore was smarter than Bush, etc., etc.  

And, of course, with the smartness, we are told, liberals are also the most moral people, much more moral than those dirty Republicans who work in dirty business.   People like Chelsea Clinton (or Michelle Obama) wouldn't soil their hands by working in the for-profit sector.  

But, let's ask this question...  if she's so moral, why is she wishing that her own grandmother had never existed!  

And, if she's so smart, tell me, why is she wishing that neither she nor her mother, Secretary Clinton, had ever been born?

Mark Steyn on Obama's Brandenburg Gate Speech

Mark Steyn also weighed in yesterday on Obama's tired speech in Germany this week:

It’s interesting to see that even liberal German media actually thought the President was a total flop. He’s a very boring man, by the way. I think that’s what’s so fascinating about him. When you listen to him chugging on about climate change or whatever, or a nuclear-free world, he’s got the same vapid ideas as the emptiest Hollywood dinner party. He’s like the guy who got a best supporting actor nomination in 1978 who’s name you can’t quite place, and he’s sitting down the end of Barbra Streisand’s dinner party just mouthing the same old boring platitudes. He hasn’t got an interesting idea in his head, this guy. And the Germans have figured it out.
 
This reminds me of something I wrote maybe a couple of years ago about Obama:
 
Obama reminds me of the character played by Charles Grodin in the original version of The Heartbreak Kid back in the early 1970s. At the end of the movie, when he's finally married the shiksa goddess played by Cybill Shepherd, he's at their wedding reception and the scene starts off with him telling a group of adults what he wants to do with his life. He wants to "help people," or words to that effect, typical content-free, skills-free liberal do-gooderism. Over the course of the wedding reception (this is the final scene of the movie), he keeps repeating this mantra to gradually descending groups of people, until, at the end of the movie, he's telling his story of wanting to "help people" to a group of children, with the implication that they are the only ones left who'll take him seriously. Meanwhile, Shepherd and her father look at him with the dawning realization that he's a schlub. It's an absolutely killer scene in a movie that was much much better than the later, Ben Stiller version.

Syria and the Serious Problem of an Unserious President





















George Will eviscerates Obama today, particularly on the subject of his dithering naivete about Syria:
In Northern Ireland before going to Berlin, Obama sat next to Putin, whose demeanor and body language when he is in Obama’s presence radiate disdain. There Obama said: “With respect to Syria, we do have differing perspectives on the problem, but we share an interest in reducing the violence.” Differing perspectives?  
Obama wants to reduce the violence by coaxing Syria’s Bashar al-Assad, who is winning the war, to attend a conference at which he negotiates the surrender of his power. Putin wants to reduce the violence by helping — with lavish materiel assistance and by preventing diplomacy that interferes — Assad complete the destruction of his enemies.  
Napoleon said: “If you start to take Vienna — take Vienna.” Douglas MacArthur said that all military disasters can be explained by two words: “Too late.” Regarding Syria, Obama is tentative and, if he insists on the folly of intervening, tardy. He is giving Putin a golden opportunity to humiliate the nation responsible for the “catastrophe.” In a contest between a dilettante and a dictator, bet on the latter.
Even if I grant liberals their good intentions (and I don't -- I think many are rent-seeking and power-hungry and, in the case of Obama's Chicago cronies, fundamentally and deeply corrupt)... but even if I grant their good intentions, the problem with even good-hearted liberals is that they believe that other people share their good intentions.   Obama wants a nice frictionless transition in Syria to a democratic utopia of Kumbaya-singing, Che-poster owning, fresh-faced, brown and shiny-skinned "rebels."   It's the 1960s vision of the world that never learns anything from history.  But Putin doesn't want that... he wants power and wealth and revenge on America.   He's a fundamentally evil ex-KGB murderer.   We don't just have "differing perspectives" on the world, we have, as the philosopher Isaiah Berlin would say, ultimate values that are "incommensurable."  

Will hits the nail on the head here:
Obama’s vanity is a wonder of the world that never loses its power to astonish, but really: Is everyone in his orbit too lost in raptures of admiration to warn him against delivering a speech soggy with banalities and bromides in a city that remembers John Kennedy’sIch bin ein Berliner” and Ronald Reagan’s “Tear down this wall”?
 
Obama is a vain child.   No one has ever told him to be quiet, or told him that what he's saying is nonsensical.   He's been stroked by his mother and his grandparents and his teachers and his professors all his life, telling him how wonderful he is.    But where the rest of us who were spoiled or pampered "smart" kids get our comeuppance in the real world, Obama has essentially been "socially promoted" to the next grade and the next throughout his life, until we find that we've got a naive college kid who never grew up as our President.    

At some point after he's out of the White House, we are going to get a raft of books about his Presidency where people finally tell the story of how vapid Obama really was.

I.  Can't.  Wait.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Faux Outrage Against Serena Williams



















Serena Williams has herself in some Twitterverse hot water for having the temerity to offer a somewhat antinomian opinion about the Steubenville, OH rape case that has gotten so much press lately.   (Simple version:  girl gets drunk and passes out at high school party, two high school football players rape girl, high school idiots snark about the rape online, cops find out, boys go to jail.)   Here's what she supposedly said:

According to the Rolling Stone story, Williams says the perpetrators of the crime “did something stupid,” and she asks: “Do you think it was fair, what they got?” 
She adds, “I’m not blaming the girl, but if you’re a 16-year-old and you’re drunk like that, your parents should teach you: Don’t take drinks from other people.” 
And Williams also is quoted as saying: “… she shouldn’t have put herself in that position, unless they slipped her something, then that’s different.”

Now, some of that I don't like... I don't like questioning whether what the boys got in terms of jail time was fair.   Gentlemen don't act that way around girls, no matter whether they're drunk or not; gentlemen protect vulnerable women, period.   They did a criminal act and deserved what they got.

But what has apparently outraged people is Williams' comments that the girl "shouldn't have put herself in that position."   My quick read of the comments online is that people are shocked, shocked that Williams would ever say such a thing against a secular saint... The Rape Victim.   Apparently it is sacrilegious to ever criticize the conduct of a girl as having any aspect of what we lawyers like to call contributory negligence.   (Note: contributory negligence is a defense to a negligence claim, not to an intentional tort.   If I were to say that a girl was contributorily negligent in "putting herself into a dangeorus position" that wouldn't be a defense to a rape charge, no matter how silly she was.)

This is a very silly variant of liberal feminist dogma and Williams should have stood by her comments, since coming from a strong and successful woman they might actually have some impact.   All she is really saying is what any parent -- and I'm a father of three teenagers, two girls and a boy -- would say.

Consider this thought experiment: the same girl in the Steubenville scenario goes to the party, gets drunk, passes out, AND NOTHING HAPPENS. A Good Samaritan drives her home, carries her to her front door, and tells her parents what happened. She sleeps it off, wakes up the next day with a hangover, then her Mom and Dad say to her, "Come into the kitchen, honey, we want to talk to you about what you did last night." Does anybody actually believe that it would be inappropriate for her parents to tell her that she shouldn't put herself in that kind of dangerous situation, that what she did was stupid, and that if she acted that way other people would think less of her as a person?

The boys' actions were criminal. They should have been prosecuted and were. But, come on, people... let's use some common sense on this.

***

P.S.  Is there a greater American athlete who has been as overlooked as Serena Williams?   She now has won five Wimbledon titles, five Australian Opens, four U.S. Opens, and two French Opens.   She won her first Grand Slam title in 1999, and just won the French Open this month, fourteen years later.   Probably the greatest American female athlete ever.

James Gandolfini, RIP

I came to The Sopranos late, but then I watched the 84 episodes of the series practically straight through.   James Gandolfini's role as Tony Soprano may be the greatest and most complex role in the history of television, which means that he created what is essentially one of the great novelistic  characters of the 21st Century, since long-form TV is what we have now instead of great novels.  

Sadly, Gandolfini has died today of an apparent heart attack at the age of 51.   Too young, much too young.   Younger than the Regular Guy, which is frightening too.   Sad, sad day.

R.I.P.



Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Who Hacked CBS Reporter Sharyl Atkisson's Computer?

We may never know.   But, as they say in the intelligence community, we can "connect the dots" to make a conjecture.

  • Atkisson, a CBS News investigative reporter, was investigating the Benghazi terror attack and its aftermath in the fall of 2012.
  • We now know that the Obama administration was going to great lengths that fall to obfuscate what happened in Benghazi, including the infamous "talking points" pointing to a nondescript anti-Islam Youtube video as the cause of spontaneous riots.
  • Atkisson, a real reporter (as opposed to an unpaid flack for the Democratic Party the way most mainstream journalists are), had done serious reporting on Fast and Furious before this, putting her on the White House's (figurative or, knowing what we know now, literal) enemies list.
  • Although it's unlikely that Mitt Romney would have won the election regardless of what happened in Benghazi (too many low information voters out there who like their abortions and Obamaphones), that was still in the future, and the Obama campaign was locked in a very tight race.
Hmmmm.... who would have had the motive to hack Atkisson's home computer?   Who would have had the technical means?   Who would have had the money to hire people willing to do it?   Who would have felt that enough was at stake to attempt something like this?   And, of course, who would have known that, whatever happened, they could (unlike, say, the Nixon White House) count on a compliant media to downplay any resulting scandal?

Here's a link to Hot Air for more on this story.  

I'm just sayin'.


In 2011, CBS reporter Sharyl Attkisson broke the story that Eric Holder knew about the gun sting [Fast and Furious] long before he said he did.
In 2012, Attkisson investigated the Benghazi massacre.
In May, Sharyl Attkisson announced that her computers were compromised by the Obama administration.
Last Friday CBS News confirmed that Sharyl Attkisson’s computer was hacked by “an unauthorized, external, unknown party on multiple occasions.” Her home computers would turn on in the middle of the night by themselves.

Birthday Today - Sir Paul McCartney

The world falls into two camps for the most part.   Not right and left or free and communist or Christian or Islamic.   No, the two camps I'm talking about are:  Stones people or Beatles people.  

Stones people like their rock and roll rougher, messier, and more tied to the blues, country, and the roots of rock in American folk music.   Beatles people like their rock and roll to be tied more to the pop music scene, more melodic, more show-tuney.  

The Beatles were boys your daughters might bring home home to supper with only a mild worry that you might not like them; the Stones were young men you prayed your daughters would stay away from.  

With the Beatles you gave your girls a word of caution; with the Stones, you went to the safe and got your gun.

Anyway, we're Stones people in our house.   But it's Paul McCartney's 71st birthday, so I thought I'd feature one of his songs that was almost a real rocker (but not quite):





71!  Tempus fugit and then some.  

Girl of the Day - Kim Dickens

One of my favorites from Deadwood, Friday Night Lights and Treme, Kim Dickens, turns 48 today.   I'd say she specializes in playing smart, tough, sexy, working-class broads, but what really makes her a cool actress is her accent -- she grew up in Alabama.



Thursday, June 13, 2013

Girl of the Day - Sherry Stringfield





































Anybody remember her from the first season of NYPD Blue (she was David Caruso's ex-wife)?   How about from ER?   I can't remember seeing her in anything since then, a pattern that it almost too obvious in Hollywood... nice looking young actress gets good TV gig, then is essentially written out of the profession once she reaches 35 or 40.   Is that sad?   Yes.   Unfair?   Yes.   Unavoidable?   Yes, until society changes... which it never will.   Human beings respond to pretty young women.   Full stop.   Get over it.

Anyway, it was her birthday yesterday, as she turned 46.   Tempus fugit.

Potential Implications of the NSA Scandal

A couple of days I cited Rand Paul's column in the WSJ about the NSA scandal:
How many records did the NSA seize from Verizon? Hundreds of millions. We are now learning about more potential mass data collections by the government from other communications and online companies....
These activities violate the Fourth Amendment, which says warrants must be specific—"particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized." And what is the government doing with these records? The president assures us that the government is simply monitoring the origin and length of phone calls, not eavesdropping on their contents. Is this administration seriously asking us to trust the same government that admittedly targets political dissidents through the Internal Revenue Service and journalists through the Justice Department?
That's the key point, and the key point hasn't changed since 1789 and the founding of our Republic... citizens shouldn't trust government not to abuse power, therefore government power must be limited.

Bryan Preston yesterday made an equally valid point about why this particular administration should be trusted even less than previous regimes:
Reading this story in the context of the just-concluded campaign, it all seemed mildly spooky. Obama’s campaign had built a massive and highly connected database that it intended to use to propel the campaign directly into everyday life. This database was far more comprehensive and sophisticated and even intrusive than any campaign information set that had ever been built before. Presidential campaigns usually disband shortly after elections, but this presidential campaign had found a way to live on in the very same legal code that was being used against the president’s enemies. That database would keep getting bigger, and it would remain a tool in what was now a permanent political army that answers ultimately not to a party but to one man, the president. 
In the current context, though, it comes across as more sinister. The Internal Revenue Service was literally policing the free speech of Americans who opposed the president’s agenda, while at the very same time it gave a free pass to a transparently political group that was slipping into tax-exempt “social welfare” dress and carrying the president’s massive political database along with it. OfA handed OfA the keys to the database kingdom. At the same time, the National Security Agency was allegedly building its own massive database on all Americans. The American people knew neither of the IRS nor of the NSA’s actions. 
The IRS became an arm of the Obama campaign, at least in practice if not in name, from 2010 to 2012. Did the NSA do anything similar? Was there any overlap at all between the data-mining tools and techniques used by the Obama campaign and the data-mining tools and techniques used by the National Security Agency?
 I'd like an independent prosecutor to investigate that question.