Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Preference Cascade Update

Remember when the Dems ran ads with Ryan pushing a grandmother in a wheelchair off a cliff?   Well, Romney can push Obama off a cliff tonight with the second debate.   The polls are already showing a big shift to Romney:

1.  Gallup's tracking poll of likely voters has Romney up four points today.
2.  Rasmussen has Romney up 2 points.
3.  Other recent polls are showing Obama leading or the race tied only because they are skewing hard to Democrats, an unreasonable expectation for turnout in November:  Washington Post (D+9 with Obama up three) and IBD/TIPP (D+7 with the race tied).   If turnout is evenly split, these polls would show Romney with significant leads.

Expect Democratic panic if Obama does poorly again.   And I mean raging, in the streets, pull out all the stops, wag the dog panic.

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